Thursday, March 12, 2020

COVID-19 – Isn’t it Just Another Seasonal Flu??

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Johns Hopkins University, School of Public Health.  These stats were published by Blaze TV.

COVID-19 vs Flu

Common Seasonal Flu*
COVID-19
Case Fatality Rate
0.1%
2.30%*
·        Serious Complication Rate (Pneumonia/Hospitalization)
0.9%
18%
Requiring ICU Rate (SARS/Septic Shock/Organ Failure)
0.25%
5%
R0 (R-Naught)/Rate of Infection
1.3
4.7
Spreads via Droplets
Yes
Yes
Spreads via Aerosols
Yes
Yes
Time Virus Survives on Surfaces
4-5 hours
5-9 Days
Incubation Period
2-3 Days
5-14 Days
Spreads During Incubation Period
No
Yes
Spreads Asymptomatically
No
Yes
Natural Herd Immunity
Yes
No
Vaccines/Antiviral Drugs Available
Yes
No
Fecal-Oral Transmission
No
Yes
Reinfection Risk
No
Yes
1,000,000
1,000,000
Projections Based on Current Data
Seasonal Flu
COVID-19
Hospitalizations per 1 Million Infections
9,000
180,000
ICUs per 1 Million Infections
2,500
50,000
Fatalities per 1 Million Infections
1,000
23,000


*WHO is publishing 3.4% fatality rate

To demonstrate the rate of transmission, compare statistics gathered on February 28, to those published on March 9.

  • Total Confirmed Cases 89,842 (up 5,964 from 83,878 on Friday Feb 28th)
  • Total Confirmed Dead 3,069 (up 255 from 2,814 on Friday)
  • 70 Countries Have Confirmed Cases (up by 10 from 57 Confirmed on Friday - That is more than 1/3 of the countries on earth
  • 18% of Active Cases are considered Serious (Requiring Hospitalization) including 5% that Require ICU treatment
  • US has 88 Confirmed Cases, and now 2 Deaths (both Washington State)
  • CDC Website now showing 472 Total US Citizens Have Been Tested, up from 445 last Friday, Feb 28th
  • 54 Labs Now Have Testing Capabilities & CDC has certified 12 regional hospitals to perform their own direct testing as of this week


Daily Stats as of Monday, March 9, 5:30 AM CT (from John's Hopkins)


  • Total Confirmed Cases Worldwide: 110,617 (up from 100,242 Friday)
  • Total Confirmed Deaths Worldwide: 3,831 (up from 3,408 Friday)
  • 62,397 Patients Have Recovered from COVID-19 Worldwide
  • 109 Countries Have Confirmed Cases (up from 94 Friday) 4 more have Suspected Cases
  • 13% of Confirmed Cases are considered Serious (Requiring Hospitalization, down from 16% Friday), with 4% requiring ICU
  • US has 554 Confirmed Cases, and now 22 Deaths
  • Confirmed Cases in the 27 US States, with 6 More Tracking Suspected cases

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